Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.249434 3.434980 3.632254 3.858794 4.113271 4.392132 4.723387
2025-09-07 2.932370 3.181863 3.460957 3.800363 4.207810 4.689309 5.314539
2025-09-14 2.693601 2.977861 3.307872 3.727160 4.258129 4.927420 5.870776
2025-09-21 2.499985 2.802086 3.162691 3.636658 4.263322 5.097718 6.364718
2025-09-28 2.379203 2.699883 3.092481 3.625171 4.359619 5.393604 7.096038
2025-10-05 2.349371 2.704222 3.151680 3.782474 4.698980 6.087784 8.655477
2025-10-12 2.283189 2.655567 3.135534 3.832222 4.887501 6.588516 10.087752
2025-10-19 2.221076 2.606618 3.113134 3.867769 5.055524 7.088139 11.770449
2025-10-26 2.184337 2.587679 3.128380 3.956963 5.318244 7.817984 14.497279
2025-11-02 2.118546 2.525165 3.077553 3.940218 5.400178 8.222117 16.727395
2025-11-09 2.027757 2.423951 2.965580 3.819164 5.284858 8.192054 17.548068
2025-11-16 1.958407 2.349209 2.887548 3.745387 5.244979 8.318110 19.120331
2025-11-23 1.898622 2.289397 2.833905 3.716330 5.302344 8.727571 22.810738
2025-11-30 1.834891 2.221796 2.765910 3.659896 5.304255 9.020365 26.850595
2025-12-07 1.772393 2.153444 2.693398 3.590715 5.273695 9.230795 31.363665
2025-12-14 1.710380 2.083372 2.614899 3.505821 5.201853 9.315648 35.678029
2025-12-21 1.671436 2.044646 2.581594 3.494887 5.279020 9.855565 49.170091
2025-12-28 1.672824 2.063726 2.636967 3.641489 5.713291 11.744254 186.911831
2026-01-04 1.650750 2.047357 2.636051 3.687753 5.937395 13.123225 NaN
2026-01-11 1.627179 2.027639 2.628493 3.720798 6.137818 14.611445 NaN
2026-01-18 1.615125 2.024408 2.646828 3.803686 6.479845 17.206140 NaN
2026-01-25 1.584347 1.991706 2.615461 3.788125 6.565504 18.593997 NaN
2026-02-01 1.536597 1.931841 2.537165 3.675550 6.373584 18.085592 NaN